Pure Hedge - Livestock and Grain
7/31/25
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If you don't like the customer service or lack of personal attention you are receiving at your new and very large brokerage house, you have options, and you don't have to stay there. Account transfers are easy and so is opening a new account.
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The Livestock Markets were mixed again today, with the Fats and Feeders taking a nosedive. October'25 Live Cattle were 6.57 ½ lower today and settled at 223.15. Today's high was 229.85 and the 1-month high is 230.42 ½. Today's low was 222.47 ½ and the 1-month low is 206.12 ½. Since 6/30 October'25 Live Cattle are 12.97 ½ higher or more than 6%. The September'25 Feeder Cattle were 8.20 lower today and settled at 331.55. Today's high was 341.05 and that is the new 1-month and contract high as well. Today's low was 330.55 and the 1-month low is 303.37 ½. Since 6/30 September'25 Feeder Cattle are 20.92 ½ higher or almost 7%. The Hogs traded higher today. October'25 Hogs were 37 ½ cents higher today and settled at 89.57 ½. Today's high was 90.22 ½ and the 1-month high is 94.40. Today's low was 88.80 and the 1-month low is 86.02 ½. Since 6/30 October'25 Lean Hogs are 2.82 ½ lower or more than 3%. The Cattle Markets got wacked today, the last trading day of the month. The way these markets have been moving I would not be surprised if they were higher tomorrow, although the Cattle Markets are due for at least a 10% correction. One thing is clear; the Cattle Market will continue to have very large price movement. I feel the best way to capitalize on these markets is to put on a Strangle, buying a call and a put. That way you know your risk, you are buying both so there is zero margin, and you can profit on large price swings in either direction. Days like today are the reason you must hedge the Fats and Feeders. Two days ago, I said “The anticipation of a break is palpable, and you can see that in the Option Premium.” It did not take long to happen. Huge swings are yet to come in the Fats and Feeders, so if you are buying them, hedge them, if you are trading, I recommend buying a strangle. Give me a call if you have any questions.
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I see two big trades for this year. I still like the Soybean Oil and the Natural Gas. These markets will correct. Take advantage of any pullbacks in these markets. NOW IS THE TIME TO OPEN AN ACCOUNT. If you hit the link and provide your information, you will have a wealth of Market information at your fingertips. Sign Up Now
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Pure Energy and Pure Metals coming soon.
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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS
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The Grain Markets were mixed today, with the Corn staying in the green. The Beans were lower again today. November'25 Soybeans were 6 ½ cents lower today and settled at 989 ¼. Today's high was 1000 ¾ and the 1-month high is 1058 ½. Today's low was 987 ½ and the 1-month low is 987 ½. Since 6/30 November'25 Soybeans are 37 ¾ cents lower or almost 4%. The Corn Market stayed positive today. December'25 Corn was 1 ½ cents higher today and settled at 413 ¾. Today's high was 414 ¼ and the 1-month high is 442 ¼. Today's low was 408 ¾ and the 1-month and contract low are 407 ½. Since 6/30 December'25 Corn is 11 ¾ cents lower or almost 3%. The Wheat Market was lower again today. September'25 Wheat was ½ cents lower today and settled at 523 ¼. Today's high was 525 ¾ and the 1-month high is 568 ¾. Today's low was 516 ¾ and that is the new 1-month low and contract low. Since 6/30 September'25 Wheat is 15 cents lower or almost 3%. The Grains still suck, but there is still opportunity in the Option Markets. If you think the Grains can shoot higher from here, or if you think they sink lower, I have trades for you to look at below. I have Strangles in the Corn, Beans, and Wheat. You are buying premium only, so zero margin issues. If the Grain Markets have a big price swing, the trades below with capitalize on the price movement. If you do not think the Grains will do much for the next few months, as the Trade Deals have not helped, and we are near contract lows, there is a trade below for you as well. If you sell a Call and a Put at the same Strike, you are selling a Straddle. When you sell a Straddle, you want the Futures Price to stay within a range and allow the option premium to erode overtime. There are examples below in each of the Grain Markets and the Natural Gas Market. There is risk involved selling a Straddle, but there is risk in everything. Give me a call if you have any questions. Have a great night.
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If you don't like the customer service or personal attention you are receiving at your new and very large brokerage house, you have options, and you don't have to stay there. I can have your new account open in 1-2 days. Call me anytime 312-957-8079 [email protected] Sign Up Now
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The Trades Below
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CHECK OUT THE LINKS BELOW
Walsh Soybean Opportunities - Pure Hedge Division
WALSH PURE SPREADER -Pure Hedge Division -
Walsh Pure Technicals - Pure Hedge Division
50-Year Cattle Chart Below. Whenever it Breaks it Will Be a Spectacular Collapse.
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December'25 Natural Gas 5-Year Chart Below.
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December'25 Soybean Oil 5-Year Chart Below.
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USE THE QR CODE BELOW TO SIGNUP FOR TRADE ALERTS
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If you would like to receive more information on the commodity markets, please use the link to join my email list Sign Up Now
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Thank you to all of my Canadian Customers. If you live in Alberta or Ontario, you are able to open an account in the USA. Hopefully we can work with the Province of Saskatchewan, and all Canandian Provinces soon. Your ability to open an account in the US is blocked by your Provincial Governments, not by the United States.
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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it.
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Most Recent Walsh Gamma Trader Link - Walsh Gamma Trader
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GOD BLESS AMERICA
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Give me a call if you have any questions.
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Bill Allen
Vice President
Pure Hedge Division
Direct: 312-957-8079
WALSH TRADING INC.
311 South Wacker Drive
Suite 540 Chicago, Illinois 60606
Walsh Trading, Inc. is registered as a Guaranteed Introducing Broker with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and an NFA Member.
Futures and options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Therefore, individuals should carefully consider their financial condition in deciding whether to trade. Option traders should be aware that the exercise of a long option will result in a futures position. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. The information contained on this site is the opinion of the writer or was obtained from sources cited within the commentary. The impact on market prices due to seasonal or market cycles and current news events may already be reflected in market prices. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
All information, communications, publications, and reports, including this specific material, used and distributed by Walsh Trading, Inc. (“WTI”) shall be construed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction. WTI does not distribute research reports, employ research analysts, or maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Regulation 1.71.